Thursday 28 November 2019

DEFENCE NEEDS OF RUSSIA AND CHINA

Both Russia and China are massive land masses with huge expanses of borders reaching across Asia and Europe. Both countries have been subject to attack from enemies for thousands of years.

Russia has suffered invasion from the Huns, Magyars, Ottomans, French and Germans. It is understandable that the Russian leadership should be paranoid about external attack. Stalin built up Russia to protect its borders from invasion through Western Europe.

He was especially paranoid at the threat of the allies after World War 2. This was borne out with the take over of West Germany and the rebuilding of European industries by the USA under the Marshall Plan.

Russia seized as many Eastern European nation as it could as a buffer against invasion from the capitalist nations. This was to shore up their borders in the west. 

Out of the Cold War came the formation of NATO and the Warsaw Pact. When one side had war games, the other side just happened to do the same. 

With the fall of the USSR, the NATO alliance has been weakened with focus on issues in Western Europe and divisions among NATO members.

But the Eastern European nations built up their economic strength and began to seek independence from Russia - beginning with Hungary and Czechoslavakia. 

The eastern Russian border was being weakened by vassal nations wanting freedom from their Soviet overlords. Invasion followed and the secession cruelly crushed.

In the 1970s, the USSR began to seek security on its southern borders through a military presence in the Indian Ocean. That opened the way to South East Asia and Africa. This worried USA and China. 

The Russian navy did not have the capacity to carry out blue water patrols and built naval bases along the littoral zones of the Indian ocean. The USA had a navy with the capacity to stay in deep water for months. The naval base at Vladivostok was built up to guard the eastern border.

A major threat to Russia and China was the rise of Islam in the Middle East. Russia had a large population of Moslems and found terrorism in Chechnya. 

There is a Moslem threat to Russia in the Middle East with the rise of Islamic State. President Putin has supported the dictator in Syria. Both USA and Russia seek to pacify the Islamic threat in the Middle East. The oil pipe line from China to Russia had to be defended.

USSR collapsed in 1989 with the closure of the Berlin Wall and the eastern nations seeking to move away from the USSR. 

Poland led the way with Lech Walesa and the Solidarity movement. China will never let that happen in Sinkiang. The Uighur society is being dismantled and imprisoned. There will be no freedom. The Sinkiang borders are being closed to traditional neighbours and all others who may be hostile to China.

Fear of Islam had its beginnings in the Middle Ages that caused the crusades led by European nations in support of the sovereignty of Jerusalem. This was accompanied by the rise of the Ottoman empire.

China has had its share of threats over thousands of years. It has had paranoia over its borders with the rise of Islam in the Middle East. 

China suffered the invasion of the Mongols which led to the building of the Great Wall of China. Then there was the invasion of Japan and the cruel rape of Nanking.

All countries are afraid of the rise of Islam which has led to genocide in Bosnia and Myanmar with the cruel incarceration and possible genocide of the Uighurs. 

There is fear that the Moslems of Iraq, Iran, Syria, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Chechnya and Sinkiang will seek to be part of a Moslem caliphate. That will give a power block on the borders of Russia and China.

The Chinese have adopted a strategy to force the Uighurs to reject their heritage and culture and become Chinese. This is destined to failure and will inevitably lead to genocide. Sinkiang is being turned into  a Stalinist cultural and economic desert with zero employment and zero sources of consumer goods for people with no money.

China is moving out to shore up its borders. Tibet was taken in 1959 to strengthen its southern border. The population was annihilated. The present Dalai Lama will be the last.

Russians had built up strong diplomatic relations with India which has now declined as the Soviet fleet moved out of the Indian Ocean. China is moving into the Pacific and Africa with infrastructure loans to nations that may not be able to pay. Pacific naval bases will become Chinese territory.

Empires slowly crash when their vassal states want to be independent. Take the Roman and British empires. Empires stay united with peace, respect and mutual support. 

That is why the Soviet empire crashed. The Chinese empire will crash in a decade or two. Already there is pressure being put on Hong Kong and Taiwan. Sinkiang will know when its time has come. China will over-populate and over-pollute its way out of existence.

China will not allow its vassal nations to become economically independent. Sinkiang is being demolished village by village with people detribalized and families annihilated. China saw what happened to Russia with European vassal nations. Chinese imperialism never lets go but tells the world to mind their own business on human rights.

Does Sinkiang have schools, health services, bureaucracy, employment, transport infrastructure, protection to Uighurs and judicial services? Is it just a place for peasants and poverty with no human rights? Is a zero Uighur population the end goal with Sinkiang as Chinese living space?

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