I am becoming concerned that the Chinese dragon is extending forth in African and Pacific nations as never before. The goal is to set up a massive empire based on debts owed.
The leaders of these nations have naively put their heads into the dragon's mouth. When the jaws close that nation will be part of the Chinese empire at least the harbour seized.
As a student of world history, I have read of the succession of failed empires from the Mongol Empire and Roman Empire to the Holy Roman Empire, Ottoman Empire , German empire and French empire.
All fell because of the inability for leaders to manage such huge masses of humanity. The deaths of leaders brought a weakening of the empires and subordinates who fought for control.
The little ice age did not help the soldiers dying of cold in the battlefields of Europe and Russia
The latest failed empire was the Greater Asian Co-Prosperity Sphere by which the Japanese planned to take the Pacific nations and industrial raw materials as part of their empire. Their failure started with the bombing of Pearl Harbour.
The western nations failed to make China as part of their empire from the 1840s. The Tai'ping rebellion brought the Western influence to a close regardless of the forced import of opium.
The focus changed to Tokugawa Japan that was forced open and then set up an industrial base that enabled the naval defeat of the Russian fleet in Vladivostok in 1905 and a war in 1936 starting in China.
Since World War 2, the Pacific Ocean has been part of the US empire centred on Hawaii with troops and war material at the ready in the Philippines and Japan.
Australia used to see the Northern Defence as a line extending to the north of Papua New Guinea.
In the 1970s, the USSR focused on the nations in the littoral zone of the Indian Ocean.
The problem was that Soviet warships were able to sail only in brown water not the deep blue oceans. So the focus was on naval bases in the littoral zone of the Indian Ocean. That involved USSR with India, Middle East and Africa.
Is China the same in the Pacific Ocean? But then we did see Chinese warships in Sydney Harbour come for a load of baby milk powder.
Now this forward defence line is poised to fall to pieces if China manages to maintain hegemony over the Pacific nations by taking islands in the South China Sea and extending massive loans to the governments of developing nations.
The seizure of assets will come year by year in the form of harbours for Chinese naval bases.
The Japanese planned a ring line of airstrips from Japan through South East Asia to Indonesia, Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands.
Now China is moving in the same direction to set up the southern border of the Chinese empire with naval bases connected by undersea cables.
Already the Western border has been sealed up through invasion of Tibet and Sinkiang. Uighurs have become Chinese slaves like the African American workers taken from their villages. Before the fall of the USSR, China was moving to seal up the Middle East.
In the future Singapore, Colombo, Daru, Rabaul, Manus Island, Guadalcanal, Port Vila and Fiji may all be part of the Chinese defence network.
China is still the Middle Kingdom with a President taking control for life like the early emperors and Mao Tse tung.
The Australian forward defence is becoming nothing more than a dream. Rejection of Taiwan was a primary requirement for Pacific nations.
In 10 years, the world will be different with climate change, overpopulation particularly China and a lack of water combined with wild fires.
China will punish Australia with tariffs to the point that we can not fund the Pacific nations as a backstop to China's largess with a sting in the tail and a not-so-hidden agenda of seizing assets for naval bases.
Australia needs allies. Who would have thought that Japan may be an ally? There are no permanent friends or enemies in diplomacy - only permanent interests.
China will lure nations to allow territory with sea level engineering, medical support with hospital ships and infrastructure development that supports China.
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